Monday, August 8, 2016

Where Does Donald Trump Stand Within the Republican Party and With America?


By John A. Smith, Editor/Founder August 8, 2016

Donald Trump Drops In Polls

Washington Post/ABC News poll August 1 through August 4, 2016

Trump Doesn't Listen To Anyone - Except Maybe The Polls

     After two weeks of Republican Presidential Nominee Donald J. Trump repeatedly tweeting attacks on his favorite social media, Twitter, attacking the Gold Star Khan family, not initially endorsing Republican Speaker of the House Paul Ryan (R-WI), Chairman of the Senate Committee on Armed Services, Senator John McCain (R-AZ) and popular New Hampshire Senator Kelly Ayotte. In announcing he wasn't endorsing Ryan last week Trump said “I’m just not quite there yet,” using the exact words Ryan used about him after the Indiana primary in May when asked if he would support Trump. The candidate also went to New Hampshire last week and claimed he is doing better than fellow Republican Senator Kelly Ayotte in statewide polls. He got a "Pants On Fire" from PolitiFact for that one.  Read More: Read More: Donald Trump's Pants on Fire claim about doing better than Kelly Ayotte in N.H. polls. Many people started to question whether the presidential nominee needed a "candidate intervention," or maybe they are the one's who need an intervention. Read More: Someone Needs an Intervention Here, and It’s Not Donald Trump/Slate.com. He wasn't listening to anyone and his running mate Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) and Campaign Manager Paul Manafort found themselves crazy with trying to "spin" all the nuttiness coming out of their candidates mouth and on his Twitter account. 

     But later, the National and State polls showed Trump in a free-fall and he reversed himself. On Friday, August 5th, at a campaign rally in Green Bay, WI,  he unenthusiastic-ally endorsed them all. Read More: Trump Endorses Paul Ryan, John McCain and Kelly Ayotte/ABC News  By then national polls showed a match up between Trump and Clinton, if the Presidential election were held today, to be 3-8 points in Clinton's favor. By Saturday a Washington Post/ABC News Poll finds Clinton has widened lead ahead of Trump to 8 points . But perhaps the worst results were coming in the battleground states. 

Battleground State Polls:

Virginia

     "The battleground state of Virginia looks a little less like a battleground today, as Hillary Clinton has opened up a lead there of 49 percent to 37 percent, echoing some of the movement seen in national polls this week."  This is of course Hillary's running mate junior U.S. Senator Tim Kaine's home state.  

Arizona

     "On the other side of the country in Arizona, Trump leads 44 percent to 42 percent, only two points in a state Republicans typically win without too much trouble. Even if this is as close as Arizona ever gets (just 15 percent of those not voting for Clinton would still consider her) it nonetheless tells the story of a potentially shifting map, forcing Trump to defend usually-red territory, in part because of such strong Hispanic support behind Clinton. In Arizona, 80 percent of Hispanic voters feel they're more motivated to vote this year than previous years, and don't believe Donald Trump treats all people fairly."

Nevada

    " In Nevada, Clinton leads, 43 percent to 41 percent, also bolstered by support from Hispanic voters and younger voters, but facing more difficulty with older, white voters. In Nevada, as elsewhere, the commander-in-chief measure nets Clinton a large advantage, even as she has lower numbers on measures such as bringing change. And the selection of Tim Kaine as vice president may have helped Clinton in Virginia, too, as voters are more likely to say it makes them more likely to vote for the ticket than to vote against it." 

NOTE: Comments on Virginia, Arizona, and Nevada are excerpts from a post on CBS.com













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